文章根据2010−2014年CFPS的调查数据,深入分析了中国家庭消费平滑的区域差异及其根源。首先,基于风险分担模型,选取合适的代理变量测度了东部、中部和西部地区以及城乡家庭消费平滑的能力;其次,运用Oaxaca-Blinder分解法从家庭、社区和政府三个层面去寻找导致消费平滑的根源。研究结果发现:东部地区家庭的消费平滑能力最强,中部次之,西部最弱,并且城镇家庭的消费平滑能力也要强于农村家庭。消费平滑区域差异的主要根源来自家庭自给与国家政策层面,尤以家庭净财产和政府补助的作用最为突出。这也反映了政府没能成功利用转移支付等方式去进行有效的收入再分配,从而达到缩小区域间消费平滑差异的目的。而社区层面上的家庭社会交往,则对缩小地区间消费平滑能力差距起了显著作用。其他一些因素如户主学历、家庭规模和区域金融比率等也影响着平滑能力的大小。各地区政府需要针对上述深层次的原因,有的放矢地采取措施方能提升当地的消费潜力。
我国消费平滑的地区性差异及其根源:家庭、社区和政府的比较分析
摘要
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引用本文
李立, 李春琦. 我国消费平滑的地区性差异及其根源:家庭、社区和政府的比较分析[J]. 财经研究, 2019, 45(4): 124-139.
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