政治互信能否促进务实合作：基于全球价值链视角 -- 上海财经大学期刊社

4 闫雪凌,林建浩. 领导人访问与中国对外直接投资[J]. 世界经济,2019,(2):147−169.

5 阎学通, 周方银, 漆海霞, 等. 中外关系鉴览 1950—2005 中国与大国关系定量衡量[M]. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2010.

6 杨攻研,刘洪钟. 政治关系、经济权力与贸易往来:来自东亚的证据[J]. 世界经济与政治,2015,(12):110−130.

7 杨连星,刘晓光,张杰. 双边政治关系如何影响对外直接投资−基于二元边际和投资成败视角[J]. 中国工业经济,2016,(11):56−72.

8 张杰,陈志远,刘元春. 中国出口国内附加值的测算与变化机制[J]. 经济研究,2013,(10):124−137.

9 Arellano M, Bover O. Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models[J]. Journal of Econometrics,1995,68(1): 29−51. DOI:10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D

10 Bailey M A, Strezhnev A, Voeten E. Estimating dynamic state preferences from united nations voting data[J]. Journal of Conflict Resolution,2017,61(2): 430−456. DOI:10.1177/0022002715595700

11 Baker S R, Bloom N, Davis S J. Measuring economic policy uncertainty[J]. The Quarterly Journal of Economics,2016,131(4): 1593−1636. DOI:10.1093/qje/qjw024

12 Blomberg S B, Hess G D. How much does violence tax trade?[J]. The Review of Economics and Statistics,2006,88(4): 599−612. DOI:10.1162/rest.88.4.599

13 Du Y X, Ju J D, Ramirez C D, et al. Bilateral trade and shocks in political relations: Evidence from China and some of its major trading partners, 1990-2013[J]. Journal of International Economics,2017,108: 211−225. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2017.07.002

14 Elms D K, Low P. Global value chains in a changing world[M]. Secretariat, Switzerland: World Trade Organization Publications, 2013.

15 Fuchs A, Klann N H. Paying a visit: The dalai lama effect on international trade[J]. Journal of International Economics,2013,91(1): 164−177. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2013.04.007

16 Handley K, Limão N. Trade and investment under policy uncertainty: Theory and firm evidence[J]. American Economic Journal:Economic Policy,2015,7(4): 189−222. DOI:10.1257/pol.20140068

17 Heilmann K. Does political conflict hurt trade? Evidence from consumer boycotts[J]. Journal of International Econo- mics,2016,99: 179−191. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.11.008

18 Johnson R C, Noguera G. Accounting for intermediates: Production sharing and trade in value added[J]. Journal of International Economics,2012,86(2): 224−236. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2011.10.003

19 Jönsson C. Diplomacy, bargaining and negotiation[A]. Carlsnaes W, Risse T, Simmons B A. Handbook of international relations[M]. London: SAGE Publications Ltd, 2002.

20 Kashcheeva M, Tsui K K. Political oil import diversification by financial and commercial traders[J]. Energy Policy,2015,82: 289−297. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.02.025

21 Kee H L, Tang H W. Domestic value added in exports: Theory and firm evidence from China[J]. American Economic Review,2016,106(6): 1402−1436. DOI:10.1257/aer.20131687

22 Knill A, Lee B S, Mauck N. Bilateral political relations and sovereign wealth fund investment[J]. Journal of Corporate Finance,2012,18(1): 108−123. DOI:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2011.11.002

23 Koopman R, Wang Z, Wei S J. Tracing value-added and double counting in gross exports[J]. American Economic Review,2014,104(2): 459−494. DOI:10.1257/aer.104.2.459

24 Krugman P. Growing world trade: Causes and consequences[J]. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,1995,26(1): 327−377.

25 Lin F Q, Hu C, Fuchs A. How do firms respond to political tensions? The heterogeneity of the Dalai Lama Effect on trade[J]. China Economic Review,2019,54: 73−93. DOI:10.1016/j.chieco.2018.10.009

26 Morrow J D. How could trade affect conflict?[J]. Journal of Peace Research,1999,36(4): 481−489. DOI:10.1177/0022343399036004006

27 Pollins B M. Does trade still follow the flag?[J]. American Political Science Review,1989,83(2): 465−480. DOI:10.2307/1962400

28 Pöyhönen P. A tentative model for the volume of trade between countries[J]. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv,1963,90: 93−99.

29 Scott W R. The changing world of Chinese enterprise: An institutional perspective[A]. Tsui A S, Lau C M. The mana- gement of enterprises in the people’s republic of China[M]. Boston: Springer, 2002.

30 Signorino C S, Ritter J M. Tau-b or not tau-b: Measuring the similarity of foreign policy positions[J]. International Studies Quarterly,1999,43(1): 115−144. DOI:10.1111/0020-8833.00113

31 Silva J M C S, Tenreyro S. The log of gravity[J]. The Review of Economics and Statistics,2006,88(4): 641−658. DOI:10.1162/rest.88.4.641

32 Tinbergen J. Shaping the world economy: An analysis of world trade flows[J]. New York Twentieth Century Fund,1962,5(1): 27−30.

33 Wang Z, Wei S J, Zhu K F. Quantifying international production sharing at the bilateral and sector levels[R]. NBER Working Paper No.19677, 2013.

34 Zhang J H, van Witteloostuijn A, Elhorst J P. China’s politics and bilateral trade linkages[J]. Asian Journal of Political Science,2011,19(1): 25−47. DOI:10.1080/02185377.2011.568241