国债对于私人投资挤出效应的实证研究
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财经研究 2004 年 第 30 卷第 08 期, 页码：53 - 57
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章采用Granger因果测试模型和1980～2000年的数据实证考察了我国国债融资对私人投资的影响,即对挤出效应理论(crowdingouteffect)进行检验。实证结果表明,我国国债融资实际上尚未对私人投资产生挤出效应。
关键词
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[2]Bernheim Aneoclassicalperspectiveonbudgetdeficits[J] JournalofEconomicPerspectives,1989,3:55～72
[3]DiamondPA Nationaldebtinaneoclassicalgrowthmodel[J] AmericanEconomicReview,1965,55:1126～1150
[4]Campell,John Inspectingthemechanism:Analyticalapproachtothestochasticgrowthmode[J] JournalofMonetaryEconomics,1994,33:463～506
[5]GangGong,AlfredGreiner,WilliSemmler GrowtheffectsoffiscalpolicyanddebtsustainabilityintheEU[J] Empirica2001,28:3～19
[6]Giavazzi,Francesco,Pagano,etc.Canseverefiscaladjustmentsbeexpansionary[M] InOlivierBlanchardandStanleyFischer,eds,NBERMacroeconomicsAnnual,1990,Cam
[7]King,RobertG Plosser,etc.Production,growthandbusinesscycles1:Thebasicneo-classicalmodel[J] JournalofMonetaryEconomics,1998,21:195～232
[8]Perotti,Robertto Fiscalpolicyingoodtimesandbad[J] QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,1999,114:1399～1436
[9]詹姆斯·D·汉密尔顿 时间序列分析[M] 北京:中国社会科学出版社,1999
[10]杨大楷 国债风险管理[M] 上海:上海财经大学出版社,2001
引用本文
宋福铁. 国债对于私人投资挤出效应的实证研究[J]. 财经研究, 2004, 30(8): 53–57.
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