实际汇率、工资和就业——对中国贸易部门和非贸易部门的实证研究
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财经研究 2005 年 第 31 卷第 11 期, 页码：43 - 51
摘要
参考文献
摘要
在同时考虑贸易部门和非贸易部门的情况下,实际汇率贬值会增加贸易部门就业,但会减少非贸易部门就业,对实际工资的影响则是不确定的。按照理论分析的结果,文章对人民币实际汇率和中国两部门实际工资及就业的关系进行协整检验,结果发现:人民币实际汇率贬值显著增加贸易部门就业,但非贸易部门就业对实际汇率变动不敏感,而两部门的实际工资和实际汇率之间则都没有协整关系存在。进一步检验发现实际汇率变动对就业在贸易和非贸易部门之间的结构也没有影响。总的结论认为,即使考虑到非贸易部门,人民币实际汇率升值对整个就业也是不利的,而贬值有利于整个就业。
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[3]Frenkel Roberto.Real exchange rate and employment in Argentina,Brazil,Chile,andMexico[R].Paper prepared for the Group of 24,Washington,D.C.September,2004.
[4]Jose Manuel Campa,Linda S Goldberg.Employment versus wage adjustment and theU.S.Dollar[R].NBER Working Paper 6749,October,1998.
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[7]Samuelson,Paul A.Theoretical notes on trade problems[J].Review of Economics andStatistics,1964,46(1):145~154.
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[12]俞乔.论我国汇率政策与国内目标的冲突及协调[J].经济研究,1999,(7):23~32.
引用本文
丁剑平, 鄂永健. 实际汇率、工资和就业——对中国贸易部门和非贸易部门的实证研究[J]. 财经研究, 2005, 31(11): 43–51.
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