近年来,上市公司的商誉减值风险引起监管层和学术界极大的关注。文章基于2007−2017年我国上市公司的并购样本,发现公司在股价高估时期实施的并购在未来面临更高的商誉减值风险。微观经济机制分析表明,股价高估导致公司的并购数量和规模显著上升,且管理层在股价高估时期往往支付更高的溢价,从而产生巨额并购商誉;此外,公司在股价高估时期往往投资过度,引起并购投资效率下降,导致并购的协同效应收益低于并购商誉,从而产生商誉减值风险。文章揭示了股价高估往往导致公司做出盲目的并购决策,进而损害实体经济。文章的研究对于防范商誉减值风险具有重要的指导意义。
股价高估与商誉减值风险
摘要
参考文献
3 李心丹,朱洪亮,张兵,等. 基于DEA的上市公司并购效率研究[J]. 经济研究,2003,(10):15−24. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8638.2003.10.006
4 刘慧龙,王成方,吴联生. 决策权配置、盈余管理与投资效率[J]. 经济研究,2014,(8):93−106. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-5719.2014.08.071
8 王秀丽. 合并商誉减值:经济因素还是盈余管理?−基于A股上市公司的经验证据[J]. 中国注册会计师,2015,(12):56−61. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-6345.2015.12.012
10 Chirinko R S,Schaller H. Business fixed investment and " Bubbles”:The Japanese case[J]. American Economic Review,2001,91(3): 663−680. DOI:10.1257/aer.91.3.663
11 Cooper W W,Li S L,Seiford L M,et al. Sensitivity and stability analysis in DEA:Some recent developments[J]. Journal of Productivity Analysis,2001,15(3): 217−246. DOI:10.1023/A:1011128409257
12 Dong M,Hirshleifer D,Richardson S,et al. Does investor misvaluation drive the takeover market?[J]. The Journal of Finance,2006,61(2): 725−762. DOI:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00853.x
14 Fama E F, Miller M H. The theory of finance[M]. New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1972.
16 Gilchrist S,Himmelberg C P,Huberman G. Do stock price bubbles influence corporate investment?[J]. Journal of Mone- tary Economics,2005,52(4): 805−827. DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.03.003
17 Jensen M C. Agency costs of overvalued equity[J]. Financial Management,2005,34(1): 5−19. DOI:10.1111/fima.2005.34.issue-1
18 Lapointe-Antunes P,Cormier D,Magnan M. Equity recognition of mandatory accounting changes:The case of transi- tional goodwill impairment losses[J]. Canadian Journal of Administrative Sciences,2008,25(1): 37−54. DOI:10.1002/(ISSN)1936-4490
19 Li Z N,Shroff P K,Venkataraman R,et al. Causes and consequences of goodwill impairment losses[J]. Review of Accounting Studies,2011,16(4): 745−778. DOI:10.1007/s11142-011-9167-2
21 Polk C,Sapienza P. The stock market and corporate investment:A test of catering theory[J]. The Review of Financial Studies,2009,22(1): 187−217. DOI:10.1093/rfs/hhn030
22 Rhodes-Kropf M,Robinson D T,Viswanathan S. Valuation waves and merger activity:The empirical evidence[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,2005,77(3): 561−603. DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2004.06.015
23 Rhodes-Kropf M,Viswanathan S. Market valuation and merger waves[J]. The Journal of Finance,2004,59(6): 2685−2718. DOI:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00713.x
24 Richardson S. Over-investment of free cash flow[J]. Review of Accounting Studies,2006,11(2−3): 159−189. DOI:10.1007/s11142-006-9012-1
25 Shleifer A,Vishny R W. Stock market driven acquisitions[J]. Journal of Financial Economics,2003,70(3): 295−311. DOI:10.1016/S0304-405X(03)00211-3
引用本文
胡凡, 李科. 股价高估与商誉减值风险[J]. 财经研究, 2019, 45(6): 71-85.
导出参考文献,格式为:
下一篇:公平竞争审查与政府补贴竞争中性