我国经济增长的地区趋同性及其路径分析——基于扩展的积累增长模型实证研究
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财经研究 2005 年 第 31 卷第 06 期, 页码：17 - 28
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章在分析传统的积累增长模型的基础上,引入了边干边学、受教育水平、技术水平、后发能力等非价格因素的变量,提出了一个扩展的积累增长模型的分析方法,对我国经济增长的地区性、趋同性及路径进行了实证分析。主要结论为:我国东、中、西部地区内部各省份的经济增长存在明显的趋同性,而全国各省份也存在趋同性;三个地区与全国各省份的经济增长趋同路径的相似之处在于,劳动力受教育程度、投资对经济增长的拉动作用;而不同之处在于,实际产出的积累、进出口价格指数、居民收入等因素的作用方向与程度不尽相同。
①文中所使用的原始数据及中间的计算过程较多,其中部分数据采用林毅夫发展论坛中刘明兴所提供的共享资料。限于篇幅,在此不能一一列出,感兴趣者可通过E mail向作者索取。
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[1]蔡,都阳中国地区经济增长的趋同与差异———对西部开发战略的启示[J]经济研究,2000,(10).
[2]丁琳,陈平一个中国各地区经济增长的实证研究[J]经济科学,1998,(4)
[3]梁昭国家经济持续增长的主要因素分析[J]世界经济,2000,(7)[4]林毅夫,刘培林自生能力与国企改革[J]经济研究,2001,(9)
[5]刘伟,李绍荣所有制变化与经济增长和要素效率提升[J]经济研究,2001,(1)
[6]刘遵义,汪同三东亚经济增长的源泉与展望[J]数量经济技术经济研究,1997,(10)
[7]祁华清借鉴西方地区经济增长理论开发我国中西部[J]武汉科技大学学报(社会科学版),2000,(6)
[8]舒元,徐现祥中国经济增长模型的确定:1952~1998[J]经济研究,2002,(11)
[9]王成岐,张建华,安辉外商直接投资、地区差异与中国经济增长[J]世界经济,2002,(4)
[10]王文博,陈昌兵,徐海燕包含制度因素的中国经济增长模型及实证分析[J]统计研究,2002,(5)
[11]张焕明扩展的Solow模型的应用:我国经济增长的地区性差异与趋同[J]经济学(季刊),2004,(3)
[12]张焕明我国农村居民消费水平地区性差异的实证分析[J]经济科学,2002,(5)
[13]Benedictis,L.Cumulative causation,Harrod’s trade multiple, andKaldors’s para dox:Foundations ofPostKeynesian theory of growth differentials[M].EconomicDy namics,Trade andGrowth:Essays onHarrodianThemes,Basingstoke,Macmillan,1998.
[14]Caselli,Esquivel,G,Lefort,F.Reopening the convergence debate:A new look atcross country growth empirics[J].Journal ofEconomicGrowth,1996,1.
[15]Eelipe,J McCombieJ S L.Biased technical change, growth accounting and theCo nundrum of theEastAsianMiracle[J].Journal ofComparativeEconomics,29,2001.
[16]Fingleton,B McCombie,J S L.Increasing returns and economic growth:Some evi dence for manufacturing from theEuropeanUnion[J].OxfordEconomicPapers,1998,50.
[17]Harris,R I D,Lau,E.Verdoorn’s law and increasing returns in theUK Regions,1968~1991:Some estimates based on the cointegration approach[J].OxfordEconomicPapers,1998,50.
[18]Islam,N.Growth empirics:A panel data proach[J].TheQuarterlyJournal ofEco nomics,1995,110.
[19]Kaldor,N.The case for regional policies[M].ScottishJournal ofPoliticalEconomy,1990.
[20]Kim,J I,Lau,L.The source of economic growth of theEastAsian newly industri alised countries[J].Journal ofJapanese andInternationalEconomies,1994,27.
[21]LeonLedesma,M A.Verdoorn’s law and increasing returns:An empirical analysis oftheSpanish regions[J].InternationalReview ofAppliedEconomics,2000,14.
[22]LeonLedesma,M A.Accumulation, innovation and catching up:An extended cumu lative growth model[J].CambridgeJournal ofEconomcs,2002,26.
[23]Mankiw,N.Gregory,Romer,David,Weil,DavidN.A contribution to the empiricsof economic growth[J].QuarterlyJournal ofEconomics,1992,107.
[24]McCombie,J S L.Economic growth, the harrod foreign trade multiplier and theHick’s super multiplier[J].AppliedEconomics,1985,17.
[25]Sala iMartin,X.I just ran two million regressions[J].AmericanEconomicReview,1997,87.
[26]Schmookler,J.Invention and economic growth[M].Cambridge,MA,HarverdUni versityPress,1966.
[27]Targetti,F,Foti,A.Growth and productivity:A model of cumulative growth andcatch up[J].CambridgeJournal ofEconomcs,1997,21.
[28]Thirwall,A P,Sanna,G.The macro determinants of growth and new growth theory:An evaluation and further evidence[C].Essays inHonour ofPaulDavidson.Alder shot,EdwardElgar,1996.
引用本文
张焕明. 我国经济增长的地区趋同性及其路径分析——基于扩展的积累增长模型实证研究[J]. 财经研究, 2005, 31(6): 17–28.
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