工资、出口贸易与全要素生产率:1979-2009
财经研究 2011 年 第 37 卷第 04 期, 页码:27 - 37
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章使用DEA方法测算了中国1979-2009年各省份的全要素生产率,结果发现全要素生产率的增长偏离工资的增长,这与Madsen和Damania(2001)等人的研究相矛盾。为此,结合中国实际情况,文章从需求引致创新角度对此问题进行了理论分析。在理论分析的基础上,文章利用两步系统广义矩(Two-step system GMM)估计方法控制全要素生产率对工资可能产生的影响后进行了经验分析。结果表明,1979-1997年,工资与全要素生产率的增长基本一致;工资、出口均显著促进全要素生产率的提升;1998-2009年,全要素生产率的增长偏离工资的增长,主要因为我国出口额大幅增加抵消了工资上涨给企业带来的压力,降低了企业的创新动力。
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[3]李平,田朔.出口贸易对技术创新影响的研究:水平溢出与垂直溢出——基于动态面板数据模型的实证分析[J].世界经济研究,2010,(2):44-48.
[4]姚洋,张晔.中国出口品国内技术含量升级的动态研究——来自全国及江苏省、广东省的证据[J].中国社会科学,2008,(2):67-82.
[5]赵留彦,王一鸣.货币存量与价格水平:中国的经验证据[J].经济科学,2005,(2):26-38.
[6]张军,施少华.中国经济全要素生产率变动:1952-1998[J].世界经济文汇,2003,(2):17-24.
[7]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004,(10):35-44.
[8]Blundell R,Bond S.Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel datamodels[J].Journal of Econometrics,1998,87(1):115-143.
[9]Feldstein M.Did wages reflect growthin productivity?[J].Journal of Policy Modeling,30(4):591-594.
[10]Grossman G,Helpman E.Innovation and growth in the global economy[M].Cam-bridge,Mass:MIT Press,1991.
[11]Kleinknecht A.Is labor market flexibility harmful to innovation[J].Cambridge Journalof Economics,1998,22(3),387-396.
[12]Kleinknecht A,Naastepad C.How the netherlands achieved full employment[R].Working Paper,Delft:University of Technology,2001.
[13]Krugman P.Increasing returns,monopolistic competition and international trade[J].Journal of International Economics,1979,9(4):469-479.
[14]Leonard J.Carrots and sticks:Pay,supervision,and turnover[J].Journal of Labor Eco-nomics,1987,5(4):s136-s152.
[15]Madsen J,Damania R.Labour demand and wage-induced innovations:Evidence fromthe OECDcountries[J].International Reviewof Applied Economics,2001,15(3):323-334.
[16]Mao W,Won W.Productivity growth,technological progress,and efficiency change inChinese agriculture after rural economic reforms:A DEAapproach[J].China EconomicReview,1997,8(2):157-174.
[17]zmucur S.Wage and productivity differentials in private and public manufacturing:The case of turkey[R].EconWPAin its series Industrial Organization,No.0303002,2003.
[18]Romer P M.Crazy explanations for the productivity slowdown[M].NBER Macroeco-nomic Annual,1987,2:163-201.
[19]Vergeer R,Kleinknecht A.Jobs versus productivity?The causal linkfrom wages tola-bour productivity growth[R].Working Paper,Delft:University of Technology,2007.
[20]Keller W.Trade and the transmission of technology[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2002,7(1):5-24.
引用本文
张庆昌. 工资、出口贸易与全要素生产率:1979-2009[J]. 财经研究, 2011, 37(4): 27–37.
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