为了理解国际贸易认同对中国出口贸易的影响,文章使用2002—2017年中国出口贸易数据,以市场经济地位为例,检验了国际认同的贸易效应。研究发现,相比于其他国家和地区,贸易伙伴承认中国市场经济地位后,中国对其出口显著增加,这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后依旧成立。机制研究发现:一方面,市场经济地位可以减少贸易伙伴对华反倾销以及中国面临的贸易政策不确定性,减轻反倾销和贸易政策不确定性对中国出口的消极影响;另一方面,市场经济地位也可以改善贸易伙伴与中国的双边政治关系,强化双边政治关系对中国出口的积极作用。影响途径的分析表明:市场经济地位可以同时沿着扩展边际和集约边际促进中国出口增长,主要通过提高数量和提升价格促进出口增长,但对出口质量影响不显著。影响效果的分析表明:市场经济地位对中国出口的促进作用对于同质品和反倾销密集的产品更明显,且该作用具有一定的空间溢出效应;此外,市场经济地位同时降低了中国对贸易伙伴的反倾销,有助于双方形成良好的经贸关系。文章的发现为理解市场经济地位对中国出口贸易的影响提供了经验证据,也为中国争取国际认同提供了参考依据。
国际认同的贸易效应:来自市场经济地位的证据
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引用本文
罗长远, 李铮. 国际认同的贸易效应:来自市场经济地位的证据[J]. 财经研究, 2024, 50(10): 139-153.
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