二元劳动力结构与通货膨胀动态形成机制——基于新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线框架
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财经研究 2013 年 第 39 卷第 03 期, 页码：76 - 87
摘要
参考文献
摘要
在中国二元经济结构下,从事非农业劳务的劳动力供给具有二元特性,即农村居民既从事农业劳务又从事非农业劳务,而城镇居民一般仅从事非农业劳务。文章基于新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线模型,构建了二元劳动力结构下的通货膨胀方程,并通过时间序列数据检验了相关关系后发现,城镇居民劳务收入变动是影响通货膨胀的显著正相关因素,但农村居民劳务收入变动与通货膨胀之间没有显著的相关关系。文章在一定程度上也验证了刘易斯关于二元经济结构下劳动力工资水平决定的设想,这有益于深入理解中国通货膨胀的成本推动形成机制。
关键词
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[5]黎德福.二元经济条件下中国的菲利普斯曲线和奥肯法则[J].世界经济,2005,(8):51-59.
[6]刘易斯.二元经济论[M].北京:北京经济学院出版社,1989.
[7]刘易斯.美国的工会主义与相对工资[A].芝加哥:芝加哥大学出版社,1963.马丁.布朗芬布伦纳.收入分配理论[C].北京:华夏出版社,2009.
[8]杨继生.通胀预期、流动性过剩与中国通货膨胀的动态性质[J].经济研究,2009,(1):106-117.
[9]杨小军.中国新凯恩斯主义菲利普斯曲线的经验研究[J].统计研究,2011,(2):13-18.
[10]曾利飞,徐剑刚,唐国兴.开放经济条件下中国新凯恩斯混合菲利普斯曲线[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2006,(3):76-84.
[11]张成思.新凯恩斯菲利浦斯曲线研究述评[J].金融评论,2010,(5):75-81.
[12]Benttolila S,Dolado J J,Jimeno F J.Does immigration affect the phillips curve?Someevidence for Spain[R].IZA Discussion Paper No.3249,2007.
[13]Calvo G.Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework[J].Journal of MonetaryEconomics,1983,12(3):383-398.
[14]Engler P.Gains from migration in a new-Keynesian framework[R].Mimeo,Free Uni-versity of Berlin,2007.
[15]Gali J,Gertler M.Inflation dynamics:A structural econometric analysis[J].Journal ofMonetary Economics,1999,44(2):195-222.
[16]Phillips A W.The relation between unemployment and the rate of change of moneywage rates in the United Kingdom,1861-1957[J].Economica,1958,25:283-299.
[17]Razin A,Binyamini A.Flattening of the short-run trade-off between inflation and do-mestic activity:The analytics of the effects of globalization[R].Mimeo,Tel Aviv Uni-versity,2007.
[18]Sbordone A M.Prices and unit labor costs:A new test of price stickiness[J].Journalof Monetary Economics 2002,49:265-292.through the time series data.It reaches the conclusions that the change in la-bor income of urban residents has a significantly positive effect on inflation,but the change in labor income of rural residents has no significantly positiveeffect on inflation.It also verifies Lewis’idea on the determination of laborwages in a dual economy to a certain extent,thus contributing to a more in-depth understanding of the formation mechanism of cost-driven inflation inChina.
引用本文
巩师恩, 范从来. 二元劳动力结构与通货膨胀动态形成机制——基于新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线框架[J]. 财经研究, 2013, 39(3): 76–87.
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