外商直接投资对农业进出口贸易的影响——基于1983~2004年中国数据的协整分析
财经研究 2007 年 第 33 卷第 02 期, 页码:101 - 108
摘要
参考文献
摘要
针对我国当前进出口贸易发展迅速而农业贸易不容乐观的现实,文章从农业部门外商直接投资对农业进出口贸易的影响出发,通过采用1983~2004年的经济数据,对二者的关系进行了协整检验和格兰杰检验。结果发现,农业部门吸引外商直接投资和农业进出口贸易之间存在稳定的相关关系,即外商直接投资是引起农业进出口贸易的原因之一。我国为此应该采取相关对策,促进农业部门成为我国吸引外商直接投资的新领域。
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①数据来源于2002年《世界银行数据库》。
[2]翁鸣.我国农产品国际贸易及其影响因素[N].科学决策,2005-10-31.
[3]熊跃生,古广东.对外直接投资与出口贸易关系研究———基于中国数据的协整分析[J].特区经济,2005,(4):25~35.
[4]张宗益,李建春,孙忠艳.外商直接投资对我国进出口贸易影响实证分析[J].当代经济科学,2005,27(2):16~20.
[5]Albuquerque R,Loayza N,Serv′en L.World market integration through the lens offoreign direct Investment[J].Journal of International Economics,2005,66(2):267~295.
[6]Belderbos R,L Sleuwagen.Japanese firms and the decision to invest abroad:Businessgroups and regional core networks[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1996,(78):214~220.
[7]Blonigen B A.A review of the empirical literature on FDI determinants[R].NBERWorking Paper,2005,11299.
[8]Blonigen B A,R C Feenstra.Protectionists threats and foreign Direct investment[R].NBER Working Paper 1996,5475.
[9]Furtan W H,Holzman J J.the Effect of FDI on agriculture and food trade:An empiri-cal analysis by 1987-2001[J].Agriculture Division,2005,(68):134~165.
[10]Goldberg,Klein W Michael.Inter-final trade and factor mobility:An empirical investi-gation[R].NBER Working Papers,1999,7196.
[11]Johnson H G.The possibility of income losses from increased efficiency or factor accu-mulation in the presence of tariffs[J].Economic Journal,1967:151~154.
[12]Lane P R,Milesi-Ferretti G M.International investment patterns[R].IMF WorkingPaper,2004,WP/04/134.
[13]Levchenko A A,Do Q T.Trade and financial development[R].In Paper presented atLACEA 2004.
[14]Marchant A Mary,Saghaiana H Sayed,Vicknera S Steven.Trade and foreign directinvestment management strategies for U.S.processed food firms in China[J].Interna-tional Food and Agribusiness Management Review,1999,(2):131~143.
[15]Marchant M A,Cornell D,W Koo.International trade and foreign direct investment:Substitutes or compliments[J].Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics,2002,34(2):289~302.
[16]Mundell R A.International trade and factor mobility[J].American Economic Review,1957,(6):321~335.
[17]Rose A K,Spiegel M M.A gravity model of sovereign lending:Trade,default,andcredit[J].IMF Staff Papers,2004,(51):50~63.
[18]Solana-Rosilla Juan B,Abbott C Philip.International entry mode decisions by agribusi-ness firms:Distribution and market power[J].American Journal of Agricultural Eco-nomics,1998,80(5):1080~1086.
①数据来源于2002年《世界银行数据库》。
引用本文
綦建红, 王平. 外商直接投资对农业进出口贸易的影响——基于1983~2004年中国数据的协整分析[J]. 财经研究, 2007, 33(2): 101–108.
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