外商在华直接投资与中美贸易平衡问题
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财经研究 2005 年 第 31 卷第 09 期, 页码：82 - 93
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章研究发现:(1)中国对外商品出口、从外商品进口分别与外商在华直接投资之间没有稳定的协整关系,但是存在有外商在华直接投资变动到中国对外贸易(出口、进口)发展变动的单向因果关系。(2)在95%置信水平下中国对美商品出口、对美贸易顺差分别与外商在华直接投资之间存在有双向影响关系,这与依据美国统计的月度数据计量的结论是相一致的。(3)外商在华投资企业和中资企业共同生产和出口美国必需的劳动密集型、资本密集和技术成熟型产品。美中贸易逆差属于互补性商品贸易逆差,已超越中美两国贸易范围,很大程度上是由外商在华直接投资包括美国在华直接投资所产生的贸易逆差转移和贸易替代效应造成的。
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[2]Fung K C, Lau Lawrence. The China-United States bilateral trade balance: How big is it really? [J]. Pacific Economic Review, 1998,3(1):33-47.
[3]Jialin Zhang. U. S. -China trade issues after the WTO and the PNTR deal: A Chinese perspective [R]. Hoover Essays in Public Policy,2000,No. 103:1-24.
[4]Jiawen Yang, Hossein Askari, John Forrer, et al. US economic sanctions against China: Who gets hurt [J]. The World Economy, 2004, (7) : 1047-1081.
[5]Liu Xianing, Wang Chengang. Wei Yingqi. Causal links between foreign direct investment and trade in China [J]. China Economic Review, 2001, (12):190-202.
[6]Taikun Ji. The US-China exchange rate dispute in a global context [R]. Working Paper, University of Alberta, 2004,May:1-32.
[7]USCC. 2004 Report to Congress [R]. One Hundred Eighth Congress, 2nd Session, 2004, http://www. uscc.gov:4-37.
[8]沈国兵．美中贸易逆差与人民币汇率:实证研究[J]．南开经济研究,2004,(6):65- 71．
[9]沈国兵．贸易统计差异与中美贸易平衡问题[J]．经济研究,2005,(6):82-93．
引用本文
沈国兵. 外商在华直接投资与中美贸易平衡问题[J]. 财经研究, 2005, 31(9): 82–93.
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