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813绿色低碳是中国高质量发展的底色，也是中国实现增长方式转变，推动人与自然和谐发展的重要方向。然而，目前对中国绿色发展依然缺乏科学的测度，也无法了解其内在发展的底层逻辑。文章将产品绿色属性纳入技术复杂度的分析框架，基于出口产品的微观视角测度中国绿色发展水平，并分析了其在时间维度的变动趋势，进而从产品渗透以及路径依赖方面来揭示绿色发展的底层逻辑。研究发现：出口视角下，中国绿色发展呈现稳定的上升趋势；绿色产品在持续产品和新增产品两个维度的双重渗透构成了中国绿色发展的基本路径，且我国绿色渗透的主要形式为持续产品，主体为低技术产品，主要目的地为经济较发达地区，主要行业为机械电子制造业。进一步研究发现，中国绿色发展道路存在显著的路径依赖特征，且绿色路径依赖的主要影响因素为绿色技术和环境规制。根据研究结论，文章认为，未来需加大绿色产品和绿色项目的投资，同时提早做好绿色发展的技术以及路径储备，为进一步厚植高质量发展的绿色底色提供助推力。
高质量发展中的绿色底色：出口视角下绿色产品渗透与路径依赖
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韩超, 岳巧钰. 高质量发展中的绿色底色：出口视角下绿色产品渗透与路径依赖[J]. 财经研究, 2024, 50(8): 4-18.
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