二次城市化、土地开发与经济增长
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财经研究 2011 年 第 37 卷第 09 期, 页码：113 - 123
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章将二次城市化水平定义为城镇户籍人口占城镇总人口的比重,构建了一个包含城市化、二次城市化和城市土地开发的中央计划者模型,在利用1985-2008年数据对模型参数进行估计的基础上,模拟分析了城市化对经济增长的影响。结果发现,城市化水平的提高对经济增长有积极作用;当人口在城市落户的成本较高时,提高二次城市化水平和城市用地相对面积会显著降低经济增长率;当落户成本较低时,上述负面影响并不明显。在进一步推进城市化的同时,应保持城乡用地的动态平衡,根据落户成本施行差别化的户籍开放和土地开发政策,让中小城市和小城镇成为吸纳人口进城落户的主要场所,这为"十二五"规划建议中有关城镇化的内容提供了理论依据。
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[2]贾若祥,刘毅.中国半城市化问题初探[J].城市发展研究,2002,(2):19-23.
[3]刘盛和,陈田,蔡建明.中国半城市化现象及其研究重点[J].地理学报,2004,(S1):101-108.
[4]沈坤荣,蒋锐.中国城市化对经济增长影响机制的实证研究[J].统计研究,2007,(6):9-15.
[5]陶然,曹广忠.户籍和土地制度改革是两个重要方面——对许玉明观点的回应[J].改革,2009,(4):151-153.
[6]王小鲁,夏小林.优化城市规模推动经济增长[J].经济研究,1999,(9):22-29.
[7]俞燕山.我国城镇的合理规模及其效率研究[J].经济地理,2000,(2):84-89.
[8]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004,(10):35-44.
[9]张应武.基于经济增长视角的中国最优城市规模实证研究[J].上海经济研究,2009,(5):31-38.
[10]Bertinelli L,Black D.Urbanization and growth[J].Journal of Urban Economics,2004,56:80-96.
[11]Black D,Henderson J V.Atheory of urban growth[J].Journal of Political Economy,1999,107:252-284.
[12]Carlino G A,Chatterjee S,Hunt R M.Urban density and the rate of invention[J].Jour-nal of Urban Economics,2007,61:389-419.
[13]Chow G C.Capital formation and economic growth in China[J].Quarterly Journal ofEconomics,1993,108:809-842.
[14]Ciccone A,Hall R E.Productivity and the density of economic activity[J].AmericanEconomic Review,1996,86:54-70.
[15]Fujita M,Ogawa H.Multiple equilibria and structural transition of non-monocentricurban configurations[J].Regional Science and Urban Economics,1982,12:161-196.
[16]Henderson J V.Opti mum city size:The external diseconomy question[J].Journal ofPolitical Economy,1974,82:373-388.
[17]Henderson J V.The effects of urban concentration on economic growth[R].NBERWorking Paper No 7503,2000.
[18]Henderson J V.The urbanization process and economic growth:The so-what question[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2003,8:47-71.
[19]Lucas R E.Externalities and cities[J].Review of Economic Dynamics,2001,4:245-274.
[20]Ranis G,Fei J C H.A theory of economic development[J].American Economic Re-view,1961,51:533-565.
[21]Solow R M.Acontribution to the theory of economic growth[J].Quarterly Journal ofEconomics,1956,70:65-94.
[22]Young A.Gold into base metals:Productivity growthin the People’s Republic of Chi-na during the reformperiod[R].NBER Working Paper No.7856,2000.
引用本文
王平, 肖文. 二次城市化、土地开发与经济增长[J]. 财经研究, 2011, 37(9): 113–123.
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