政策信誉与人民币汇率政策信誉分析
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财经研究 2004 年 第 30 卷第 10 期, 页码：52 - 62
摘要
参考文献
摘要
汇率政策信誉是汇率导向的稳定政策达到预期目标的一个关键因素,人民币汇率稳定是我国当前汇率政策的主要目标。文章从政策信誉理论出发,利用一个新的理论模型模拟汇率政策信誉,并对当前人民币汇率政策的信誉进行分析,量化出汇率政策信誉指标值,得出人民币汇率政策具有良好的信誉,公众对人民币汇率的稳定充满信心的结论。
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[2]Drazen,Allan,PaulRMasson.Credibilityofpoliciesversuscredibilityofpolicyma kers[R]1993NBERWorkingPaperNo.4448
[3]Masson,PaulR.GainingandlosingERMcredibility:ThecaseoftheUnitedKingdom[J].TheEconomicJournal.May1995.Vol.105,Iss.430
[4]Barro,RobertJ.Reputationinamodelofmonetarypolicywithincompleteinformation[J].JournalofMonetaryEconomics,1986Vol.17
[5]Agenor,Pierre Richard,MarkPTaylor.TestingforcredibilityEffects[R].IMFStaffPapers1992Vol.39No.3
[6]Agenor,Pierre Richard.Credibilityandexchangeratemanagementindevelopingcountries[J].JournalofDevelopmentEconomics,Oct1994.Vol.45,Iss.1
[7]Anderson,TorbenM.Rulesversusdiscretioninmonetarypolicy:Thecaseofasymmetricinformation[J].JournalofEconomicDynamicsandControl1986Vol.10
[8]Anderson,TorbenM,OleRisager.Theroleofcredibilityfortheeffectsofachangeintheexchangeratepolicy[R].OxfordEconomicPapers.1991Vol.43
[9]Backus,David,JohnDriffill.Inflationandreputation[J] TheAmericanEconomicReview,1985Vol.75No.3
[10]李惠芬.人民币汇率相对不变政策在内外均衡中的成本效应与调整思路[J].国际金融研究,2003,(9).
[11]丁剑平.关于现行的人民币汇率机制的可持续性研究[J].国际金融研究,2003,(5)
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彭玉镏. 政策信誉与人民币汇率政策信誉分析[J]. 财经研究, 2004, 30(10): 52–62.
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