进入顺序对企业出口持续时间的影响
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财经研究 2013 年 第 39 卷第 08 期, 页码：52 - 64
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章关注我国新出口市场中企业的进入顺序对其出口持续时间的影响。由于首个进入的先锋企业对其他企业有正外部性,考察它在存活率上是否占有优势具有重要的政策含义。基于中国海关的月度出口数据,文章对2002年新市场的先锋企业和跟随企业进行了生存分析。结果显示,在新市场中企业的存活率整体较低;先锋企业在早期的存活率高于跟随企业,但这种优势保持的时间较短;若集中分析存活3个月以上的企业,则发现跟随企业平均出口持续时间更长。文章进一步采用Cox比例风险模型进行了回归分析,发现在控制了目的地国家、产业以及企业层面的特征以后,以上现象依然存在且非常稳健。由此,文章建议国家对先锋企业进行适度补贴。
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[2]陈勇兵,李燕.贸易关系持续时间的研究进展[J].国际贸易问题,2012,(10):28-42.
[3]Amurgo-Pacheco A,Pierola M D.Patterns of export diversification in developing coun-tries:Intensive and extensive margins[R].Policy Research Working Paper No.4473,the World Bank,2008.
[4]Artopoulos A,Friel D,Hallak J C.Lifting the domestic veil:The challenges of expor-ting differentiated goods across the development divide[R].NBER Working Paper No.16947,2011.
[5]Besedes T,Prusa T J.Ins,outs,and the duration of trade[J].Canadian Journal of E-conomics,No2006,39(1):266-295.
[6]Besedes T,Prusa T J.Product differentiation and duration of US import trade[J].Jour-nal of International Economics,2006,70(2):339-358.
[7]Freund C,Pierola M D.Export entrepreneurs:Evidence from peru[R].Policy Re-search Working Paper No.5407,The World Bank,2010.
[8]Hausman R,Rodrik D.Economic development as self-discovery[J].Journal of Eco-nomics Development,2003,72(2):603-633.
[9]Hess W,Persson M.The duration of trade revisited:Continuous-time vs.Discrete-Time Hazards[R].Working Paper,Department of Economics,Lund University,2010.
[10]Jenkins S P.Survival analysis[R].Unpublished Manuscript,Institute for Social and Economic Research,University of Essex,2005.
[11]Segura-Cayuela R,Vilarrubia J M.Uncertainty and entry into export markets[R].Working Paper,International Economics Department,Banco de Espan～a,2007.
[12]Wagner R,Zahler A.New exports from emerging markets:Do followers benefit from pioneers?[R].Working Paper,Harvard University,2011.
引用本文
魏自儒, 李子奈. 进入顺序对企业出口持续时间的影响[J]. 财经研究, 2013, 39(8): 52–64.
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