6833 
9450高校扩招使更多人享有接受高等教育的机会，由于教育年限的延长客观上推迟了中国人口的平均初婚年龄，产生了所谓的“剩男”、“剩女”现象，该政策也被认为是导致新一轮“单身潮”的主要原因。然而，统计数据显示，中国自2003年以来的结婚率呈现不断上升趋势，且这种上升趋势无法仅通过人口年龄结构因素来解释。那么，扩招政策究竟对中国结婚率产生了何种影响呢？文章利用合成控制法得到的结果显示：高校扩招政策的实施促进了中国结婚率的提高，且对女性的影响要大于男性。研究表明，扩招不仅提高了全社会的人力资本水平，也提高了对婚姻市场的匹配效率。
高等教育的婚姻效应：推迟结婚还是选择不婚？——来自合成控制法的新证据
摘要
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引用本文
刘伯凡, 刘叶. 高等教育的婚姻效应：推迟结婚还是选择不婚？——来自合成控制法的新证据[J]. 上海财经大学学报, 2018, 20(3): 93-109.
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