1319 
2633效果推理是不确定环境下的一种决策理论，其相关成果在创业研究领域占有重要地位。但目前关于效果推理的文献内容较为零散，且缺少对其发展脉络及热点变化的动态分析。基于此，本文运用动态主题模型（DTM）对475篇效果推理的英文文献进行建模分析。首先，分析聚类出该领域的五个重要主题：效果推理的概念与测量、效果推理与因果推理的关系、效果推理的前置变量、效果推理的结果变量和效果推理的整合与繁衍，梳理重要主题的研究内容；其次，可视化重要主题的动态演化过程，计算重要主题及其分支的研究热度，分析研究热点的动态变化；最后，从概念与测量、理论发展以及整合与繁衍三个方面，对效果推理的研究前景进行展望。本研究创新性地基于动态主题模型分析效果推理各研究分支的动态变化过程，为效果推理的进一步研究提供思路与参考。
基于动态主题模型的效果推理研究综述
摘要
参考文献
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引用本文
崔连广, 任国强, 邓舒婷, 等. 基于动态主题模型的效果推理研究综述[J]. 外国经济与管理, 2025, 47(8): 119-135.
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