进口贸易是一国引进技术与资本、繁荣国内市场的关键环节,考察“一带一路”倡议是否有助于降低沿线国家进口价格具有重要意义。文章通过拓展Antràs等(2017)的进口贸易模型,并利用双重差分方法,结合2009—2018年国家产品层面贸易数据,考察了“一带一路”倡议降低沿线国家进口价格的因果效应和作用机制。研究结果表明:(1)通过加入“一带一路”倡议,沿线国家的进口价格得到了显著的下降,这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后保持不变。(2)通过扩展进口来源国的竞争效应和提高进口方采购量的需求效应,“一带一路”倡议对降低沿线国家进口价格产生了积极作用。(3)“一带一路”倡议推动进口价格下降的主要动力来自集约边际,价格降幅在资本技术密集型和垄断程度较强的行业中更为明显,且对发展中国家的影响也更为显著。上述结论充分表明了“一带一路”倡议对于完善全球经济治理体系具有重要政策含义。
“一带一路”倡议的进口价格效应
摘要
参考文献
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引用本文
李宁静, 闫强明, 刘冲. “一带一路”倡议的进口价格效应[J]. 财经研究, 2023, 49(7): 93-107.
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