中国和八国集团经济政策协调的经济基础分析
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财经研究 2008 年 第 34 卷第 12 期, 页码：30 - 39
摘要
参考文献
摘要
为研究中国和八国集团(G8)是否存在经济政策协调的经济基础,文章以国际经济政策协调理论为依据,从经济相互依存度考察政策协调的基础。通过选取衡量经济体相关性和趋同性的标准,对中国与八国集团中七个主要发达国家间的经济相互依存度进行比较。贸易的相关性和部分政策变量指标的趋同性,说明中国和七国已表现出一定的经济政策协调基础。但是,运用VAR模型对影响经济波动的深层因素——供给和需求冲击进行对称性分析,却显示中国与七国冲击对称性尚不显著,表明中国与七国相比参与政策协调的成本会比较大。所以,中国目前可不急于全面参与G8的政策协调,而应先利用当前的对话机制,加强同发达国家的经济联系,逐步探索未来协调的步骤和领域。
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[4]Cooper R N.The Economics of independence:Economic policy in the Atlantic Commu-nity[M].New York:McGraw Hill,1968.
[5]Eichengreen B.European monetary unification theory,practice,and analysis[M].Cambridge,MA.:The MIT Press,1997:53-71.
[6]Fleming J M.On exchange rate unification[J].Economic Journal,1971,81:467-488.
[7]Frenkel J A,Goldstein M,Masson P R.The rationale for,and effects of,internationalpolicy coordination[A].Branson W H,Frenkel J A,Goldstein M.International policycoordination and exchange rate fluctuations[C].Chicago:University of Chicago Press:1990.
[8]Hamada K,Masahiro K.International economic policy coordination:Theory and policyimplications[A].Fratianni M U,Dominick S,Jurgen von H.Handbook of comparativeeconomic policies[C].Greenwood Press:Westport and London,1997:87-147.
[9]Henning C R.Macroeconomic diplomacy in the 1980s:Domestic politics and internation-al conflict among the United States,Japan,and Europe[D].Atlantic Paper No.65.London;New York:Croom Helm for the Atlantic Institute for International Affairs,1987.
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[12]Mundell R A.Theory of optimal currency areas[J].American Economic Review,1961,51:657-665.
[13]Rose A,Engel Charles.Currency unions and international integration[D].NBERWorking Paper No.7872,September,2000.
[14]Tower E,Willett T D.The theory of optimum currency areas and exchange rate flexi-bility[D].Princeton Special Studies in International Economics No.11,May,1976.
引用本文
戴金平, 靳晓婷, 林铁铮. 中国和八国集团经济政策协调的经济基础分析[J]. 财经研究, 2008, 34(12): 30–39.
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