长寿风险、养老金体制与资本积累
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财经研究 2011 年 第 37 卷第 08 期, 页码：126 - 135
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章利用考虑死力连续变化的随机OLG模型,对长寿风险与资本积累之间的关系进行了探讨。在考虑我国统账结合养老金安排的体制背景下,通过重新构建的动态生命表,数值模拟得到的结果与生命周期理论一致,即长寿风险的增加会促进资本积累,而我国现有的养老金体制安排不能促进资本积累。模拟的改革方案显示提高个人账户在统账结合体制中的相对比重会极大地促进资本积累。
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[6]d’Albis H.Demographic structure and capital accumulation[J].Journal of Economic Theory,2007,132:411-434.
[7]Blanchard O J.Debt,deficits,and finite horizons[J].Journal of Political Economy,1985,93:223-247.
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[9]Diamond P A.National debt in a neoclassical growth model[J].American Economic Review,1965,55(5):1126-1150.
[10]Heijdra B J,Romp W E.A life-cycle overlapping-generations model of the small open economy[R].Research Report SOM 05C04,University of Groningen,2005.
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[12]Keyfitz N,Caswell H.Applied mathematical demography(third edition)[M].Springer Inc.,New York,2005.
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[14]Samuelson P A.An exact consumption-loan model of interest with or without the social contrivance of money[J].Journal of Political Economy,1958,66(6):467-482.
[15]Yarri M.Uncertain lifetime,life insurance,and the theory of the consumer[J].Reviewof Economic Studies,1965,32(2):137-150.
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胡仕强, 许谨良. 长寿风险、养老金体制与资本积累[J]. 财经研究, 2011, 37(8): 126–135.
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