技术溢出视角下技术进步对能源消费的回弹效应研究——基于空间面板数据模型
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财经研究 2012 年 第 38 卷第 09 期, 页码：124 - 134
摘要
参考文献
摘要
针对现有文献测算回弹效应普遍忽略技术溢出效应的缺憾,文章构建了三要素经济增长的空间误差模型,在此基础上给出了回弹效应的估算方法,并利用1995-2010年省际面板数据对我国技术溢出视角下技术进步对能源消费的回弹效应进行了实证分析。结果表明,技术进步所导致的能源回弹效应显著存在,中、西部的平均回弹效应明显高于东部,全国的平均回弹效应呈现上升趋势。因此,政府在制定能源政策时需要注意降低单位GDP能耗可能出现的回弹效应,把提高能源效率与自主创新、产业结构调整、政府宏观调控等手段结合起来以实现既定的节能目标。
①GDP以1980年的可比价格计算,能源效率与能源消费总量数据来自《中国能源统计年鉴(2011)》。
⑦这里的产业结构比重数据来自《中国统计年鉴(2011)》。
[1]国涓,郭崇慧,凌煜.中国工业部门能源反弹效应研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2010,(11):114-126.
[2]刘源远,刘凤朝.基于技术进步的中国能源消费反弹效应——使用省际面板数据的实证检验[J].资源科学,2008,(9):1300-1306.
[3]魏一鸣,焦建玲,廖华.能源经济学[M].北京:科学出版社,2011.
[4]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004,(10):35-44.
[5]周勇,林源源.技术进步对能源消费回报效应的估算[J].经济学家,2007,(2):45-52.
[6]Anson S,Turner K.Rebound and disinvestment effects in refined oil consumption and supply resulting from an increase in energy efficiency in the Scottish commercial trans-port sector[J].Energy Policy,2009,37:3608-3620.
[7]Berkhout P H G,Muskens J C,Velthuijsen J W.Defining the rebound effect[J].En-ergy Policy,2000,28:425-432.
[8]Cleveland C J,Costanza R,Hall C A S,et al.Energy and the US economy:A bio-physical perspective[J].Science,1984,225:890-897.
[9]Freire-González J.Methods to empirically estimate direct and indirect rebound effect of energy-saving technological changes in households[J].Ecological Modelling,2011,223:32-40.
[10]Glomsrd S,Wei T.Coal cleaning:A viable strategy for reduced carbon emissions and improved environment in China?[J].Energy Policy,2005,33:525-542.
[11]Jin S H.The effectiveness of energy efficiency improvement in a developing country:rebound effect of residential electricity use in South Korea[J].Energy Policy,2007,35:5622-5629.
[12]Madlener R,Alcott B.Energy rebound and economic growth:A review of the main issues and research needs[J].Energy,2009,34:370-376.
[13]Pedroni P.Critical value for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors[J].Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,1999,61:653-670.
[14]Pesaran M H.A simple panel unit root rest in the presence of cross-section depen-dance[J].Journal of Applied Econometrics,2007,22:265-312.
[15]Saunders H D.The Khazzoom-Brookes postulate and neoclassical growth[J].Energy Journal,1992,13:131-148.
[16]Semboja H.The effects of energy taxes on the Kenyan economy:A CGE analysis[J].Energy Economics,1994,16(3):205-215.
[17]Wei T.Impact of energy efficiency gains on output and energy use with Cobb-Douglasproduction function[J].Energy Policy,2007,35:2023-2030.
[18]Tinbergen J.Shaping the world ewnomy:Suggestions for an international economic policy[M].New York:Twentieth Century Fund,1962.
[19]Yuan C,Liu S,Wu J.Research on energy-saving effect of technological progress based on Cobb-Douglas production function[J].Energy Policy,2009,37:2842-2846.
⑦这里的产业结构比重数据来自《中国统计年鉴(2011)》。
[1]国涓,郭崇慧,凌煜.中国工业部门能源反弹效应研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2010,(11):114-126.
[2]刘源远,刘凤朝.基于技术进步的中国能源消费反弹效应——使用省际面板数据的实证检验[J].资源科学,2008,(9):1300-1306.
[3]魏一鸣,焦建玲,廖华.能源经济学[M].北京:科学出版社,2011.
[4]张军,吴桂英,张吉鹏.中国省际物质资本存量估算:1952-2000[J].经济研究,2004,(10):35-44.
[5]周勇,林源源.技术进步对能源消费回报效应的估算[J].经济学家,2007,(2):45-52.
[6]Anson S,Turner K.Rebound and disinvestment effects in refined oil consumption and supply resulting from an increase in energy efficiency in the Scottish commercial trans-port sector[J].Energy Policy,2009,37:3608-3620.
[7]Berkhout P H G,Muskens J C,Velthuijsen J W.Defining the rebound effect[J].En-ergy Policy,2000,28:425-432.
[8]Cleveland C J,Costanza R,Hall C A S,et al.Energy and the US economy:A bio-physical perspective[J].Science,1984,225:890-897.
[9]Freire-González J.Methods to empirically estimate direct and indirect rebound effect of energy-saving technological changes in households[J].Ecological Modelling,2011,223:32-40.
[10]Glomsrd S,Wei T.Coal cleaning:A viable strategy for reduced carbon emissions and improved environment in China?[J].Energy Policy,2005,33:525-542.
[11]Jin S H.The effectiveness of energy efficiency improvement in a developing country:rebound effect of residential electricity use in South Korea[J].Energy Policy,2007,35:5622-5629.
[12]Madlener R,Alcott B.Energy rebound and economic growth:A review of the main issues and research needs[J].Energy,2009,34:370-376.
[13]Pedroni P.Critical value for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors[J].Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,1999,61:653-670.
[14]Pesaran M H.A simple panel unit root rest in the presence of cross-section depen-dance[J].Journal of Applied Econometrics,2007,22:265-312.
[15]Saunders H D.The Khazzoom-Brookes postulate and neoclassical growth[J].Energy Journal,1992,13:131-148.
[16]Semboja H.The effects of energy taxes on the Kenyan economy:A CGE analysis[J].Energy Economics,1994,16(3):205-215.
[17]Wei T.Impact of energy efficiency gains on output and energy use with Cobb-Douglasproduction function[J].Energy Policy,2007,35:2023-2030.
[18]Tinbergen J.Shaping the world ewnomy:Suggestions for an international economic policy[M].New York:Twentieth Century Fund,1962.
[19]Yuan C,Liu S,Wu J.Research on energy-saving effect of technological progress based on Cobb-Douglas production function[J].Energy Policy,2009,37:2842-2846.
引用本文
冯烽, 叶阿忠. 技术溢出视角下技术进步对能源消费的回弹效应研究——基于空间面板数据模型[J]. 财经研究, 2012, 38(9): 124–134.
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