我国外部失衡的分解与评估
财经研究 2007 年 第 33 卷第 10 期, 页码:41 - 50
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章对造成我国外部失衡的原因进行了定量分析和评估。定量分析显示,我国目前的外部失衡主要是内生性和外源性的,是国内外实质经济因素共同作用的结果,有其客观必然性和存在的合理性,在短期内不可能靠调控政策完全消除,强行消除反而不利于经济稳定运行。面对外部失衡的政策重点在于尽力阻断外部失衡向国内经济传导和对国内经济协调运行构成负面冲击。
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[3]林毅夫.潮涌现象与发展中国家宏观经济理论的重新构建[J].经济研究,2007,(1):126~131.
[4]刘伟,苏剑.供给管理与我国现阶段的宏观调控[J].经济研究,2007,(2):4~15.
[5]余永定.全球国际收支不平衡与中国的对策[J].国际金融研究,2007,(1):21~24.
[6]张建清,李洁,张天顶.全球经常项目失衡问题的实证研究[J].国际金融研究,2006,(12):38~44.
[7]中国经济增长与宏观稳定课题组.增长失衡与政府责任——基于社会性支出角度的分析[J].经济研究,2006,(10):4~17.
[8]Cooper,Richard.America’s current account deficit is not only sustainable,it is perfect-ly logical given the world’s hunger for invest ment returns and dollar reserves[N].Fi-nancial Ti mes,1/9/2004.
[9]Lane Philip R,Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti.The external wealth of nations:Measures of foreign assets and liabilities for industrial and developing countries[J].Journal of Inter-national Economics,2001(12):263~294.
[10]Mann Catherine L,Katherine Plck.Whenthe dollar bill comes due[J/OL].Op-ed,In-stitute for International Economics,2005.www.iie.com.
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[12]Maurice Obstfeld,Kenneth Rogoff.The unsustainable US current account position re-visited[R].NBER Working Paper No.10869,2005.
[13]Quinlan Joseph,Mac Chandler.The U.S.trade deficit:A dangerous obsession[J].Foreign Affairs,May/June,2001:87~97.
[14]Ronald Mckinnon,Gunther Schnabl.Synchronize business cycles in East Asia andfluc-tuations in the Yen/Dollar exchange rate[J].The World Economy,2005,26(8):1067~1088.
[15]Sachs Jeffrey.The current account in the macroeconomic adjust ment process[J].Scan-dinavian Journal of Economics,1982,82(2):147~159.
[16]Ti mothy Geithner.Monetary policy in the global financial environment[EB/OL].9/3/2006,http://economistsview.typepad.com.
引用本文
张纯威, 罗瑞琼. 我国外部失衡的分解与评估[J]. 财经研究, 2007, 33(10): 41–50.
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