中国服务贸易的本地市场效应研究——基于中国与31个国家(地区)的双边贸易面板数据
财经研究 2014 年 第 40 卷第 10 期, 页码:71 - 83
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章利用1992-2011年中国与31个国家(地区)的双边服务贸易的面板数据实证研究了中国服务贸易的本地市场效应,发现相对需求结构、需求规模作用的本地市场效应和以劳动力要素禀赋为传统的比较优势均促进了中国服务出口,并且后者促进作用大于前者;还发现需求规模作用的本地市场效应促进了中国的传统服务、新兴服务、生产性服务和非生产性服务的出口,其中对新兴服务和生产性服务出口的促进作用更为明显;需求结构作用的本地市场效应也促进了中国新兴服务和生产性服务出口,但促进作用较小,同时需求结构弱化了本地市场效应对传统服务和非生产性服务出口;最后发现中国的运输服务、旅游服务、建筑服务、通信服务、金融服务和保险服务都存在显著的需求规模作用的本地市场效应,而旅游服务、金融服务和保险服务则都存在显著的需求结构作用的本地市场效应,计算机和信息服务、专有权利及许可费、个人、文化和娱乐服务、其他商业服务的本地市场效应都不显著。
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[9]钱学峰,陈六傅.中美双边贸易中本地市场效应估计——兼论中国的贸易政策取向[J].世界经济研究,2007,(12):49-54.
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[15]颜银根.中国全行业本地市场效应实证研究——从新经济地理角度诠释扩大内需[J].上海财经大学学报,2010,(3):58-64.
[16]杨玲,吴根宝.生产性服务贸易出口的结构模式与中国策略[J].改革,2012,(9):95-104.
[17]张帆,潘佐红.本土市场效应及其对中国省间生产和贸易的影响[J].经济学(季刊),2006,(5):307-323.
[18]张亚斌,冯迪,张杨.需求规模是诱发本地市场效应的唯一因素吗?[J].中国软科学,2012,(11):132-146.
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[23]Crozet M,Trionfetti F.Trade costs and the home market effect[J].Journal of International Economics,2008,76(2):309-321.
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[25]Davis D.The home market,trade,and industrial structure[J].American Economic Review,1998,88(5):1264-1276.
[26]Davis D,Weinstein D.Economic geography and regional production structure:an empirical investigation[J].European Economic Review,1999,43(2):379-407.
[27]Davis D,Weinstein D.Market access,economic geography and comparative advantage:An empirical test[J].Journal of International Economics,2003,59(1):1-23.
[28]Domeque N,Fillat C,Sanz G.The home market effect in Spanish industry:An empirical analysis[EB/OL].http://www.etsg.org/ETSG 2005/papers/domeque.pdf,2005.
[29]Domeque N,Fillat C,Sanz G.The home market effect in the Spanish industry,1965-1995[J].The Annals of Regional Science,2011,46(2):379-396.
[30]Fajgelbaum P,Grossman G M,Helpman E.Income distribution,product quality,and international trade[J].Journal of Political Economy,2011,119(4):721-765.
[31]Ghazalian L,Furtan W.Home market effect in the presence of multinational activities:Location and nationality[J].International Review of Economics,2009,56(5):377-392.
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[33]Helpman E,Krugman P.Market structure and foreign trade[M].Cambridge(Mass):MIT Press,1985.
[34]Krugman P.Scale economies,product differentiation,and the pattern of trade[J].American Economic Review,1980,70(5):950-959.
[35]Larch M.The home market effect in models with multinational enterprises[J].Review of International Economics,2007,15(1):62-74.
[36]Okubo T,Rebeyrol V.Home market effect and regulation costs——Homogeneous and hetero geneous firm trade models[R].HEI Working Paper,No.02,2006.
[37]Schumacher D.Home market and traditional effects on comparative advantage in a gravity approach[R].DIW Discussion Paper,No.344,2003.
[38]Johdo W.Asymmetric transportation costs and the home market effect[J].Theoretical Economics Letters,2013,35(3):81-84.
[39]Weder R.Comparative home-market advantage:an empirical analysis of British and American exports[J].Review of World Economics,2003,139(2):220-247.
[40]Huang Y Y,Lee C T,Huang D S.Home market effects in the chamberlinian-ricardian world[J].Bulletin of Economic Research,2013,66(3):25-49.
[41]Yu Z.Trade,market size,and industrial structure:The home market effects rivisited[J].Canadian Journal of Economics,2005,38(1):255-272.
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[43]Zeng D,Kikuchi T.Home market effect and trade costs[J].The Japanese Economic Review,2009,60(2):253-270.
①其中Xαij代表产品α由i国向j国的出口额;kαi表示产品α在i国的GDP中所占份额,ma j表示j国在产品α上的支出占世界该产品支出的比重,Yi表示i国的GDP。
[2]陈雯,李佳璐.我国制造业出口的本地市场效应研究——基于引力模型的实证分析[J].世界经济研究,2012,(2):21-27.
[3]范爱军,刘馨遥.中印工业制成品贸易的本地市场效应比较研究[J].世界经济研究,2011,(5):76-81.
[4]冯伟,徐康宁.产业发展中的本地市场效应——基于我国2004-2009年面板数据的实证[J].经济评论,2012,(2):62-70.
[5]阚大学.中日服务贸易本地市场效应估计[J].南方经济,2013,(3):75-82.
[6]林发勤,唐宜红.比较优势、本地市场效应与中国制成品出口[J].国际贸易问题,2010,(1):18-24.
[7]刘磊.基于引力模型的中韩双边贸易本地市场效应研究[J].国际经贸探索,2013,(8):45-52.
[8]钱学峰,梁琦.本地市场效应:理论和经验研究的新近进展[J].经济学(季刊),2007,(3):969-990.
[9]钱学峰,陈六傅.中美双边贸易中本地市场效应估计——兼论中国的贸易政策取向[J].世界经济研究,2007,(12):49-54.
[10]钱学峰,黄云湖.中国制造业本地市场效应再估计:基于多国模型框架的分析[J].世界经济,2013,(6):59-78.
[11]邱斌,尹威.中国制造业出口是否存在本土市场效应[J].世界经济,2010,(7):45-63.
[12]孙丽江,赵志豪.中国机电产品贸易的本土市场效应分析[J].生产力研究,2011,(12):4-6.
[13]王岚,盛斌.中国对美制成品出口竞争优势:本土市场效应与比较优势——基于倍差引力模型的经验分析[J].世界经济文汇,2013,(2):67-79.
[14]许统生,涂远芬.中国可贸易产业本地市场效应的估计及其政策启示——基于变截距面板数据模型的分析[J].经济学动态,2010,(7):66-70.
[15]颜银根.中国全行业本地市场效应实证研究——从新经济地理角度诠释扩大内需[J].上海财经大学学报,2010,(3):58-64.
[16]杨玲,吴根宝.生产性服务贸易出口的结构模式与中国策略[J].改革,2012,(9):95-104.
[17]张帆,潘佐红.本土市场效应及其对中国省间生产和贸易的影响[J].经济学(季刊),2006,(5):307-323.
[18]张亚斌,冯迪,张杨.需求规模是诱发本地市场效应的唯一因素吗?[J].中国软科学,2012,(11):132-146.
[19]Behrens K,Lamorgese A,Ottaviano G,et al.Testing the home market effect in a multi-country world[R].CEPR Discussion Papers,No.4468,2004.
[20]Brulhart M,Trionfetti F.A test of trade theories when expenditure is home biased[J].European Economic Review,2009,53(7):830-845.
[21]Chen C M,Zeng D Z.The home market effect:Beyond the constant elasticity of substitution[R].Tohoku University Working Paper,2014.
[22]Combes P,Mayer T,Thisse J F.Economic geography:the integration of regions and nations[M].Princeton:Princeton University Press,2008.
[23]Crozet M,Trionfetti F.Trade costs and the home market effect[J].Journal of International Economics,2008,76(2):309-321.
[24]Dalgin M,Trindade V,Mitra D.Inequality,non-homothetic preferences,and trade:A gravity approach[J].Southern Economic Journal,2007,74(3):747-774.
[25]Davis D.The home market,trade,and industrial structure[J].American Economic Review,1998,88(5):1264-1276.
[26]Davis D,Weinstein D.Economic geography and regional production structure:an empirical investigation[J].European Economic Review,1999,43(2):379-407.
[27]Davis D,Weinstein D.Market access,economic geography and comparative advantage:An empirical test[J].Journal of International Economics,2003,59(1):1-23.
[28]Domeque N,Fillat C,Sanz G.The home market effect in Spanish industry:An empirical analysis[EB/OL].http://www.etsg.org/ETSG 2005/papers/domeque.pdf,2005.
[29]Domeque N,Fillat C,Sanz G.The home market effect in the Spanish industry,1965-1995[J].The Annals of Regional Science,2011,46(2):379-396.
[30]Fajgelbaum P,Grossman G M,Helpman E.Income distribution,product quality,and international trade[J].Journal of Political Economy,2011,119(4):721-765.
[31]Ghazalian L,Furtan W.Home market effect in the presence of multinational activities:Location and nationality[J].International Review of Economics,2009,56(5):377-392.
[32]Head K,Mayer T,Ries J.On the pervasiveness of home market effects[J].Economica,2002,69(275):371-390.
[33]Helpman E,Krugman P.Market structure and foreign trade[M].Cambridge(Mass):MIT Press,1985.
[34]Krugman P.Scale economies,product differentiation,and the pattern of trade[J].American Economic Review,1980,70(5):950-959.
[35]Larch M.The home market effect in models with multinational enterprises[J].Review of International Economics,2007,15(1):62-74.
[36]Okubo T,Rebeyrol V.Home market effect and regulation costs——Homogeneous and hetero geneous firm trade models[R].HEI Working Paper,No.02,2006.
[37]Schumacher D.Home market and traditional effects on comparative advantage in a gravity approach[R].DIW Discussion Paper,No.344,2003.
[38]Johdo W.Asymmetric transportation costs and the home market effect[J].Theoretical Economics Letters,2013,35(3):81-84.
[39]Weder R.Comparative home-market advantage:an empirical analysis of British and American exports[J].Review of World Economics,2003,139(2):220-247.
[40]Huang Y Y,Lee C T,Huang D S.Home market effects in the chamberlinian-ricardian world[J].Bulletin of Economic Research,2013,66(3):25-49.
[41]Yu Z.Trade,market size,and industrial structure:The home market effects rivisited[J].Canadian Journal of Economics,2005,38(1):255-272.
[42]Zeng D,Kikuchi T.Home market effect and the agricultural sector[EB/OL].http://www.rieb.kobe-u.ac.jp/coe/seminar/pdf/Zeng.pdf,2006.
[43]Zeng D,Kikuchi T.Home market effect and trade costs[J].The Japanese Economic Review,2009,60(2):253-270.
①其中Xαij代表产品α由i国向j国的出口额;kαi表示产品α在i国的GDP中所占份额,ma j表示j国在产品α上的支出占世界该产品支出的比重,Yi表示i国的GDP。
引用本文
阚大学, 吕连菊. 中国服务贸易的本地市场效应研究——基于中国与31个国家(地区)的双边贸易面板数据[J]. 财经研究, 2014, 40(10): 71–83.
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