直觉型决策研究现状和展望
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外国经济与管理 2015 年 第 37 卷第 11 期, 页码：72 - 84
摘要
参考文献
摘要
本文在系统梳理直觉决策相关文献的基础上,总结了直觉概念的内涵特质和类型划分,从三种主要的心理学研究视角探讨了直觉的解释机理。综合直觉形成及其影响的相关研究,我们认为直觉决策的形成因素大致包括环境特征、企业因素、决策任务,以及心理因素和经验,影响作用集中在企业家精神、战略决策和知识型团队决策三个方面。文章分析了提升直觉决策效用的路径。本文认为未来应从研究视角整合、研究方法扩展、丰富情境因素以及认知偏差类型划分和应对等层面深化直觉型决策的研究。
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[2] Armstrong S J,Cools E and Sadler-smith E.Role of cognitive styles in business and management: Reviewing 40 years of research[J].International Journal of Management Reviews,2012,14:238-262.
[3] Baron R A.Opportunity recognition as pattern recognition: How entrepreneurs "connect the dots" to identify new business opportunities[J].The Academy of Management Perspectives,2006,Feb:104-119.
[4] Baron R A and Ensley M D.Opportunity recognition as the detection of meaningful patterns: Evidence from comparisons of novice and experienced entrepreneurs[J].Management Science,2006,52(9):1331-1344.
[5] Blume B D and Covin J G.Attributions to intuition in the venture founding process: Do entrepreneurs actually use intuition or just say that they do?[J].Journal of Business Venturing,2011,26:137-151.
[6] Clarke I and Mackaness W.Management "intuition": An interpretative account of structure and content of decision schemas using cognitive maps[J].Journal of Management Studies,2001,38(2):147-172.
[7] Dane E and Pratt M G.Exploring intuition and its role in managerial decision making[J].Academy of Management Review,2007,32(1):33-54.
[8] Dane E and Pratt M G.Conceptualizing and measuring intuition: A review of recent trends[M].International Review of Industrial and Organizational Psychology by Hodgkinson G P and Ford J K,Wiley-Blackwell,2009,24:1-40.
[9] Dane E.Reconsidering the trade-off between expertise and flexibility: A cognitive entrenchment perspective[J].Academy of Management Review,2010,35(4):579-603.
[10] Dane E,Rockmann K W and Pratt M G.When should I trust my gut? Linking domain expertise to intuitive decision-making effectiveness[J].Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,2012,119:187-194.
[11] Dayan M and Benedetto C A D.Team intuition as a continuum construct and new product creativity: The role of environmental turbulence,team experience,and stress[J].Research Policy,2011,40:276-286.
[12] Dayan M and Elbanna S.Antecedents of team intuition and its impact on the success of new product development projects[J].Journal of Product Innovation Management,2011,28(s1):159-174.
[13] Eisenhardt K M.Making fast strategic decisions in high-velocity environments[J].Academy of Management Journal,1989,32(3):543-576.
[14] Elbanna S and Child J.Influences on strategic decision effectiveness: Development and test of an integrative model[J].Strategic Management Journal,2007a,28:431-453.
[15] Elbanna S and Child J.The influence of decision,environmental and firm characteristics on the rationality of strategic decision-making[J].Journal of Management Studies,2007b,44(4):561-591.
[16] Epstein S.Demystifying intuition: What it is,what it does,and how it does it[J].Psychological Inquiry,2010,21:295-312.
[17] Fukukura J,Ferguson M J and Fujita K.Psychological distance can improve decision making under information overload via gist memory[J].Journal of Experimental Psychology: General,2013,142(3):658-665.
[18] Glöckner A and Witteman C.Beyond dual-process models: A categorization of processes underlying intuitive judgement and decision making[J].Thinking & Reasoning,2010,16(1):1-25.
[19] Hough J R and Ogilvie D.An empirical test of cognitive style and strategic decision outcomes[J].Journal of Management Studies,2005,42(2):417-448.
[20] Miller C C and Ireland R D.Intuition in strategic decision making: Friend or foe in the fast-paced 21st century?[J].The Academy of Management Executive,2005,19(1):19-30.
[21] Mitchell J R,Friga P N and Mitchell R K.Untangling the intuition mess: Intuition as a construct in entrepreneurship research[J].Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice,2005,Nov:1042-2587.
[22] Moxley J H,et al.The role of intuition and deliberative thinking in experts' superior tactical decision-making[J].Cognition,2012,124:72-78.
[23] Kickul J,et al.Intuition versus analysis? Testing differential models of cognitive style on entrepreneurial and self-efficacy and the new venture creation process[J].Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice,2009,Mar: 439-453.
[24] 柏菊.直觉决策研究综述与展望[J].中国软科学,2008,5:140-1475.
[25] 陈海贤,何贵兵.心理距离对跨期选择和风险选择的影响[J].心理学报,2014,46(5):677-690.
[26] 黄俊,李晔,张宏伟.解释水平理论的应用及发展[J].心理科学进展,2015,23(1):110-119.
[27] 孙美佳,李新建.群体交互记忆系统研究述评[J].外国经济与管理,2012,10:30-38.
[28] 张静,刘远.社会网络视角下产品创新直觉的社会性[J].现代经济探讨,2013,10:73-77.
[29] 张静,刘远.直觉型决策效用下的专业性与灵活性的悖论和应对研究[J].南京社会科学,2014,11:32-38.
[30] 张静,陈传明.专业性与直觉效用的非线性关系——基于个体双元能力视角[J].财经论丛,2014,12:74-81.
引用本文
张静, 刘远, 陈传明. 直觉型决策研究现状和展望[J]. 外国经济与管理, 2015, 37(11): 72–84.
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