7069 
6535文章基于延迟退休可能带来就业挤出和闲暇损失的现实背景，在动态一般均衡世代交叠模型框架下通过引入异质性消费者并根据中国经济校准主要参数，在控制延迟退休对中国劳动力市场冲击影响的基础上，模拟分析了延迟退休政策对企业职工福利水平的长期影响。研究分析表明：(1)无论是采用保持现有的缴费率不变的政策方式还是保持养老金待遇不变的政策方式，延迟退休均能提高城镇企业职工的社会福利水平——第一种政策会增加社会福利3.66%，第二种政策会增加社会福利1.1%；在保持养老保险缴费率不变的情况下，从长期看，延迟退休5年会使社会福利最大化。(2)最优的退休年龄与劳动力市场状态息息相关，如果当前就业形势严峻，最优退休年龄需要相应降低。
延迟退休会提高社会福利水平吗？
摘要
参考文献
1 白重恩, 吴斌珍, 金烨.中国养老保险缴费对消费和储蓄的影响[J].中国社会科学, 2012, (8): 48-71.
2 陈彦斌, 霍震, 陈军.灾难风险与中国城镇居民财产分布[J].经济研究, 2009, (11): 144-158.
3 郭新强, 胡永刚.中国财政支出与财政支出结构偏向的就业效应[J].经济研究, 2012, (增2): 5-17.
4 何立新, 封进, 佐藤宏.养老保险改革对家庭储蓄率的影响:中国的经验证据[J].经济研究, 2008, (10): 117-130.
5 何立新.中国城镇养老保险制度改革的收入分配效应[J].经济研究, 2007, (3): 70-91.
6 孙祁祥. "空账"和转型成本——中国养老保险改革的效应分析[J].经济研究, 2001, (5): 20-27.
7 汪伟, 郭新强, 艾春荣.融资约束、劳动收入份额下降与中国低消费[J].经济研究, 2013, (11): 100-113.
8 徐舒, 赵邵阳.养老金"双轨制"对城镇居民生命周期消费差距的影响[J].经济研究, 2013, (1): 83-98.
9 尹志超, 甘犁.公共部门和非公共部门工资差异的实证研究[J].经济研究, 2009, (4):129-140.
10 张川川, 赵耀辉.延迟退休年龄会挤出年轻人就业吗? [R]. University Library of Munich, Germany, 2012.
11 张军, 章元.对中国资本存量K的再估计[J].经济研究, 2003, (7): 675-699.
12 Auerbach A J, Kotlikoff L J. Dynamic fiscal policy[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press, 1987.
13 Bai C E, Hsieh C T, Qian Y Y. The return to capital in China. [J]. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2006, (2): 61-88.
14 Chamon, Marcos, Liu K, Prasad E. Income uncertainty and household savings in China. [J]. Journal of Development Economics, 2013, 105:164-177.
15 Cooley T F, Prescott E C. Economic growth and business cycles[A]. Cooley T F. Frontiers of business cycle research[C]. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1998.
16 Díaz-Giménez J, Díaz-Saavedra J. Delaying retirement in Spain[J]. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2009, 12(1):147-167.
17 Feng J, He X L, Sato H. Public pension and household saving: Evidence from urban China.[J]. Journal of Comparative Economics, 2011, 39(4): 470-485.
18 Ge S Q, Yang T D. Changes in China's wage structure. [J]. Forthcoming in the Journal of the European Economic Association 2013.
19 Giles J, Park A, Zhang J W. What is China's true unemployment rate? [J]. China Economic Review, 2005, 16(2): 149-170.
20 Heathcote J, Storesletten K, Violante G L. The macroeconomic implications of rising wage inequality in the United States. [J]. Journal of Political Economy, 2010, 118(4): 681-722.
21 mrohoroglu A, Imrohoroglu S, Joines D H. A life cycle analysis of social security[J]. Economic theory, 1995, 6(1): 83-114.
22 Kitao S. Sustainable social security: Four options[J]. Review of Economic Dynamics 2014, 17(4): 756-77.
23 Liu Y. Labor market matching and unemployment in urban China[J]. China Economic Review, 2013, 24: 108-128.
24 Munnell A H, Wu A Y Y. Will delayed retirement by the baby boomers lead to higher unemployment among younger workers? [R]. Boston College Center for Retirement Research Working Paper 2012, 2012-22.
25 Shimer R. Reassessing the ins and outs of unemployment[J]. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2012, 15(2): 127-148.
26 Sin Y. China: Pension Liabilities and Reform Options for Old Age Insurance[R]. World Bank Working Paper, 2005, No. 2005-1.
27 Song Z M, Storesletten K, Wang Y, et al. Sharing high growth across generations: Pensions and demographic transition in China[J]. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2015, 7(2): 1-39
28 Zhang C C, Zhao Y H. The relationship between elderly employment and youth employment: evidence from China[R]. MPRA Paper, No. 37221, 2012.
引用本文
宁磊, 郑春荣. 延迟退休会提高社会福利水平吗？[J]. 财经研究, 2016, 42(8): 27–39.
导出参考文献，格式为：
