美国经济周期对中国经济周期的贸易传导研究
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财经研究 2011 年 第 37 卷第 04 期, 页码：38 - 48
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章在充分考虑中美两国贸易结构与贸易条件等实际因素的基础上,对美国经济周期波动通过货物贸易途径对我国经济周期的影响进行了测算。研究表明,美国不仅可以通过其与我国密切的货物贸易往来对我国经济周期产生影响,还可以通过其对世界经济的巨大影响力对我国经济周期产生影响。其中,美国进口波动对我国经济的影响大于美国出口波动所产生的影响,而两国贸易条件与贸易结构变动产生的影响则不明显。
关键词
①参见笔者:《中美经济周期同步性研究》,《财经理论与实践》,2009年第3期。
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[1]Artis MJ,Galv o A B,Marcellino M.The transmission mechanismin a changing world[J].Journal of Applied Econometrics,2007,22(1):39-61.
[2]Backus D K,Kehoe P J.International evidence on the historical properties of businesscycles[J].American Economic Review,1992,82:864-888.
[3]Faia E.Finance and international business cycles[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,2007,54:1018-1034.
[4]Frankel J A,Rose A K.The endogeneity of the opti mumcurrency area criteria[J].Eco-nomic Journal,1998,108:1009-1025.
[5]Jonathan Heathcote,Fabrizio Perri.Financial autarky and international business cycles[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,2002,49:601-627.
[6]Kose M,Prasad E S,Terrones ME.Howdoes globalization affect the synchronization ofbusiness cycles?[J].American Economic Review,2003,93(2):57-62.
[7]Kose M A,Yi Kei-Mu.Can the standard international business cycle model explain therelation between trade and comovement?[J].Journal of International Economics,2006,68:267-295.
[8]Mackowiak B.External shocks,U.S.monetary policy and macroeconomic fluctuations inemerging markets[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,2007,54:2512-2520.
引用本文
李星, 陈乐一. 美国经济周期对中国经济周期的贸易传导研究[J]. 财经研究, 2011, 37(4): 38–48.
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