随着新冠肺炎疫情的全球蔓延,公共卫生安全问题所触发的一系列连锁反应对经济景气程度的冲击已经成为当今社会关注的重要问题。文章通过构建动态空间杜宾模型,并且利用2007−2017年中国31个省份(直辖市)的面板数据来研究医疗体系、公共卫生安全与经济景气程度的空间联动机制。研究发现:尽管目前收治能力较弱,但在现有医疗体系下,医疗保障水平和收治能力均可调节公共卫生安全问题对经济增长、金融机构活跃度和股票市场活跃度的消极影响,且存在明显的空间溢出效应。在此基础上,进一步分析公共卫生安全对经济景气程度的作用机制,认为公共卫生安全问题通过阻碍出口、外商直接投资和产业结构高级化对经济增长、金融机构活跃度和股票市场活跃度产生抑制作用和不同程度的空间溢出效应。值得注意的是,出口对经济增长的空间溢出效应不显著,外商直接投资对经济增长和金融机构活跃度的空间溢出效应也不显著。最后,夜间灯光数据的回归结果再次证实了医疗体系调节效应和公共卫生安全问题传导机制的存在。在三条传导路径中,外商直接投资所占比重最大,其次是出口,产业结构高级化所占比重相对较小,这些将为减少公共卫生安全问题的经济影响制定政策提供理论支持。
医疗体系、公共卫生安全与经济景气程度的空间联动机制
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参考文献
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引用本文
綦勇, 王冬彧, 侯泽敏. 医疗体系、公共卫生安全与经济景气程度的空间联动机制[J]. 财经研究, 2021, 47(5): 124-138.
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