3243 
2518稳就业是经济运行保持在合理区间的关键支撑。文章以国家电子商务示范城市建设作为准自然实验，运用双重差分模型和空间杜宾模型探讨了电子商务发展对城市就业水平的影响、作用机制和空间溢出效应。研究发现，国家电子商务示范城市建设显著提升了城市就业水平，并且该提升效应在第二产业、第三产业、高互联网发展水平城市和低经济发展水平城市更为显著，同时在东部和中西部地区城市中均有显著的就业提升效应。作用机制检验发现，城市创业活跃度和生产性服务业集聚是国家电子商务示范城市建设提升城市就业水平的主要途径。进一步采用空间杜宾模型检验发现，国家电子商务示范城市建设发挥了较强的示范效应，在促进示范城市就业水平提升的同时，也对周边城市、相邻城市和经济发展水平相似城市就业水平产生了积极作用，具有正向的空间溢出效应。文章的研究结论为经济新常态下如何发挥电子商务在稳就业中的促进作用提供了经验证据和政策启示。
城市电商化发展能否实现稳就业？
摘要
参考文献
13 王俊豪, 周晟佳. 中国数字产业发展的现状、特征及其溢出效应[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究,2021,(3):103−119. DOI:10.13653/j.cnki.jqte.2021.03.004
18 Beck T, Levine R, Levkov A. Big bad banks? The winners and losers from bank deregulation in the United States[J]. The Journal of Finance,2010,65(5): 1637−1667. DOI:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01589.x
19 Chagas A L S, Azzoni C R, Almeida A N. A spatial difference-in-differences analysis of the impact of sugarcane production on respiratory diseases[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics,2016,59: 24−36. DOI:10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2016.04.002
20 Cueto B, Mayor M, Suárez P. Entrepreneurship and unemployment in Spain: A regional analysis[J]. Applied Economics Letters,2015,22(15): 1230−1235. DOI:10.1080/13504851.2015.1021450
21 Dauth W. Agglomeration and regional employment dynamics[J]. Papers in Regional Science,2013,92(2): 419−435. DOI:10.1111/j.1435-5957.2012.00447.x
22 Elhorst J P. Applied spatial econometrics: Raising the bar[J]. Spatial Economic Analysis,2010,5(1): 9−28. DOI:10.1080/17421770903541772
23 Fan J T, Tang L X, Zhu W M, et al. The Alibaba effect: Spatial consumption inequality and the welfare gains from E-commerce[J]. Journal of International Economics,2018,114: 203−220. DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.07.002
24 Gherghina Ș C, Botezatu M A, Simionescu L N. Exploring the impact of electronic commerce on employment rate: Panel data evidence from European Union Countries[J]. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Electronic Commerce Research,2021,16(7): 3157−3183. DOI:10.3390/jtaer16070172
25 Goldsmith-Pinkham P, Sorkin I, Swift H. Bartik instruments: What, when, why, and how[J]. American Economic Review,2020,110(8): 2586−2624. DOI:10.1257/aer.20181047
26 Huang C C, Jin H Y, Zhang J Y, et al. The effects of an innovative E-commerce poverty alleviation platform on Chinese rural laborer skills development and family well-being[J]. Children and Youth Services Review,2020,116: 105189. DOI:10.1016/j.childyouth.2020.105189
28 Mei Y, Mao D L, Lu Y H, et al. Effects and mechanisms of rural E-commerce clusters on households' entrepreneurship behavior in China[J]. Growth and Change,2020,51(4): 1588−1610. DOI:10.1111/grow.12424
29 Qi J Q, Zheng X Y, Guo H D. The formation of Taobao villages in China[J]. China Economic Review,2019,53: 106−127. DOI:10.1016/j.chieco.2018.08.010
30 Terzi N. The impact of e-commerce on international trade and employment[J]. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences,2011,24: 745−753. DOI:10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.09.010
31 Xue X X, Wang X H, Li L W. Employment absorption capacity of e-commerce service industry[J]. Journal of Coastal Research,2019,93(sp1): 879−882. DOI:10.2112/SI93-125.1
引用本文
谢文栋. 城市电商化发展能否实现稳就业？[J]. 财经研究, 2023, 49(1): 139-153.
导出参考文献，格式为：
