双边投资协定旨在为企业跨境投资活动提供制度性保障作用,在双边国际投资中扮演着重要角色。文章以双边投资协定的签订与实施作为一项准自然实验,采用2004−2018年140个国家的国别面板数据,基于渐进型双重差分模型,考察双边投资协定对中国企业海外并购的影响效应。研究发现:(1)双边投资协定显著促进了中国企业的意愿并购,并提升了并购成功数量。(2)在动态效应上,双边投资协定的促进效应具有长期性,且促进幅度逐步提升。(3)双边投资协定的促进效应具有显著异质性,双边投资协定的促进效应在亚洲和非洲地区更为显著,对高制度质量国家和发达国家的促进效应更强,且对非国有企业的促进作用更强。(4)拓展性检验发现,双边投资协定的文本质量对中国海外并购具有显著促进效应。(5)内在机制检验发现,通过对投资协定具体条款进行分解和量化后,“投资定义与范畴”“公平公正待遇”和“最惠国待遇”是影响双边投资协定促进中国海外并购的关键性条款。文章丰富了双边投资协定与海外并购关系领域的理论研究,并为中国企业海外并购及新一轮双边投资协定实践提供了政策启示,为全球经济治理贡献了中国智慧。
双边投资协定与中国企业海外并购——来自准自然实验的证据
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韩永辉, 王贤彬, 韦东明, 等. 双边投资协定与中国企业海外并购——来自准自然实验的证据[J]. 财经研究, 2021, 47(4): 33-48.
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